Website traffic statistics
Pages viewed and unique visitors to WCN Online
Month/
year
Page
views
Unique
visitors
Nov '17806,48132,160
Oct '17733,01434,345
Sep '17685,28725,490
Aug '17947,20130,169
Jul '17688,12024,645
Jun '17710,85423,452
May '17809,49122,808
Apr '17600,63723,897
Mar '17664,10026,870
Feb '17511,81924,889
Jan '17597,53831,368
Dec '16692,56026,566
Nov '16672,32528,904
Oct '16558,87820,127
Sep '16528,03820,578
Aug '16482,16818,484
Jul '16461,78816,728
Jun '16452,25720,350
May '16522,07718,502
Apr '16433,09116,773
Mar '16454,71616,488
Feb '16479,59014,371
Jan '16529,85415,815
Dec '15492,60218,837
Nov '15353,00820,085
Oct '15417,35713,005
Sep '15355,91215,297
Aug '15411,40314,704
Jul '15354,72013,342
Jun '15417,67319,164
May '15580,07721,606
Apr '15376,62021,696
Mar '15339,35123,090
Feb '15332,08421,684
Jan '15322,89225,157
Dec '14356,31821,346
Nov '14366,08923,187
Oct '14357,83324,423
Sep '14401,28320,054
Aug '14372,89715,248
Jul '14358,38815,902
Jun '14320,07316,212
May '14388,06821,008
Apr '14341,87020,693
Mar '14313,31919,996
Feb '14271,67916,435
Jan '14200,47419,854
Dec '1393,03315,996
Nov '1392,26117,397
Oct '1389,71817,456
Sep '1394,33018,762
Aug '13102,80416,609
Jul '1382,65216,167
Jun '1388,37417,497
May '13104,17220,211
Apr '1397,46219,191
Mar '13115,84721,047
Feb '13102,19020,176
Jan '13120,44421,077
Dec '12110,79719,692
Nov '12103,45821,428
Oct '1290,41919,012
Sep '1299,50420,003
Aug '12111,41120,782
Jul '12110,15420,259
Jun '12106,61220,830
May '12120,22120,940
Apr '1280,45617,069
Mar '12103,54521,411
Feb '1293,23421,162
Jan '1285,53419,807
Dec '1182,36615,345
Nov '1181,83620,021
Oct '1179,78019,855
Sep '1162,05814,726
Aug '1155,77813,859
Jul '1166,33614,504
Jun '1180,32018,321
May '1184,29219,675
Apr '11194,02719,022
Mar '11127,03417,375
Feb '1165,99614,928
Jan '1167,05315,578

WorldCargo News the world's leading resource for international cargo professionals
CLICK HERE for our FREE weekly eNewsletter
Search: 

Published: 10 October 2017      

SeaIntel: "Massive overcapacity in Q4"

Danish shipping consultancy SeaIntel Maritime Analysis is forecasting "massive overcapacity" in some trade lanes to the end of the year

From Copenhagen, SeaIntel states: "We are now heading into the fourth quarter, where we would expect to see the traditional culling of deployed capacity relative to the peak season third quarter, but the current capacity outlook does not show a Q4 drop in deployed capacity in line with past years.

"Q4 2017 is currently slated for massive overcapacity, as the traditional seasonal culling of capacity has not (yet) been scheduled. If the past five years is used as a guide, 25 sailings will have to blanked on Asia-Europe, while Transpacific will require the blanking of 67 average-sized sailings."

Over the 2012-2016 period, says SeaIntel, Q4 deployed capacity on the Asia-North Europe trade lane has on average contracted by 6.6% relative to Q3, but Q4 2017capacity is currently scheduled to shrink by just 0.8% relative to Q3 2017.

"If the same seasonality is assumed, a total of 193,000 TEU would have to be blanked over the entire Q4 period, equal to the blanking of 13.5 average sailings, or roughly one sailing per week.

On Asia-Mediterranean, assuming the average 2012-2016 Q/Q contraction of 10.2% holds true, the trade lane is currently scheduled for an excess capacity 126,000 TEU in Q4, which would equate to the blanking of 11.5 average-sized sailings, or a little less than one per week.

Deployed capacity on Asia-US West Coast in 2012-2016 has seen Q4 on average contract by 4.5% compared to Q3, which would leave an excess of 184,000 TEU of capacity currently scheduled for Q4 2017, equal to the blanking of 25.1 average-sized sailings, or close to two sailings per week.

On Asia-US East Coast, deployed capacity is currently scheduled to grow by 4.1% over Q3 2017, which would yield a year-on-year growth of a staggering 21.9%. This would mean an excess capacity of 247,000 TEU if the 2012-2016 seasonality is assumed, which would require the blanking of 32.0 average-sized sailings, or almost 2.5 sailings per week.


To find out more about WorldCargo News:
  • Click here to order a back issue
  • Click here to subscribe to WorldCargo News
  • Click here for a sample back-issue of WorldCargo News
  • Read related items
    Click on the links below to read other news and features related to this item.
  • SeaIntel Maritime Analysis
  • Publications
  • Container shipping
  • Shipping miscellaneous


  • All contents © WCN Publishing, 24 Bridge Street, Leatherhead, Surrey KT22 8BX, England.